資源與能源季刊2018年3月Resources and Energy Quarterly March 2018

澳大利亞的資源和能源出口收入預計將在2017 - 2018年創(chuàng )下歷史新高，增加210億美元至2300億美元。 ? The 司機 broad-based. 出口 收入 的 增加液化天然氣預計將成為出口收入增長(cháng)的最大貢獻者，其次是冶金煤和動(dòng)力煤。鐵礦石、石油和一些賤金屬也將作出重大貢獻。 ? Commodity 價(jià)格 預計 將 會(huì ) 從 2018 - 19 , 鐵礦石 和 煉焦 煤 價(jià)格 下跌 有 最大 的 影響 預計 實(shí)際 出口 earnings.從2019 - 2020年，澳大利亞的資源和能源出口收入預計將穩定在2,130 - 2,160億美元。 ? While 大宗 商品 價(jià)格 預計 將 漂移 lower, 前景 不是 homogenous.商品處于商品價(jià)格周期的不同階段。預計澳大利亞一些主要的資源和能源出口將出現價(jià)格上漲，其他的則會(huì )出現價(jià)格下跌。 ? The 生產(chǎn) 階段 的 礦業(yè) 繁榮 被 定義 為 生產(chǎn) 和 出口量 迅速 增長(cháng) — 一 個(gè) 遺產(chǎn) 應該 持續 數十 年 來(lái) 的然而，到本世紀初，澳大利亞出口的增長(cháng)預計將基本告一段落，標志著(zhù)澳大利亞資源和能源行業(yè)一個(gè)非凡時(shí)代的結束。

Australia’s resources and energy export earnings are forecast to reach record highs in 2017–18, increasing by $21 billion to $230 billion. 

? The drivers of this increase in export earnings are broad-based. LNG is expected to be the largest contributor to the growth in export earnings, followed by metallurgical coal and thermal coal. Iron ore, oil and a number of base metals will also make a significant contribution. 

? Commodity prices are projected to decline from 2018-19, with falls in iron ore and metallurgical coal prices having the largest impact on projected real export earnings. Australia’s resources and energy export earnings are projected to level out at $213-216 billion from 2019–20 onwards. 

? While commodity prices are expected to drift lower, the outlook is not homogenous. Commodities are at different stages of the commodity price cycle. Price rises are projected for some of Australia’s major resources and energy exports, and price falls for others. 

? The production phase of the mining boom has been defined by rapid growth in production and export volumes — a legacy which should last for decades to come. By the turn of this decade, however, the ramp up in Australia’s exports is expected to have largely run its course, marking the end of an extraordinary era for our resources and energy sector.